Global Societal Problem, Argument and Solution

Write: This Final Paper, an argumentative essay, will present research relating the critical thinker to the modern, globalized world. In this assignment, you need to address the items below in separate sections with new headings for each.

Topic: Unemployment and lack of economic opportunity

Must be 1,750 words

In your paper,

  • Identify the global societal problem within the introductory paragraph.
  • Describe background information on how that problem developed or came into existence.
    • Show why this is a societal problem.
    • Provide perspectives from multiple disciplines or populations so that you fully represent what different parts of society have to say about this issue.
  • Construct an argument supporting your proposed solutions, considering multiple disciplines or populations so that your solution shows that multiple parts of society will benefit from this solution.
    • Provide evidence from multiple scholarly sources as evidence that your proposed solution is viable.
  • Interpret statistical data from at least three peer-reviewed scholarly sources within your argument.
    • Discuss the validity, reliability, and any biases.
    • Identify the strengths and weaknesses of these sources, pointing out limitations of current research and attempting to indicate areas for future research. (You may even use visual representations such as graphs or charts to explain statistics from sources.)
  • Evaluate the ethical outcomes that result from your solution.
    • Provide at least one positive ethical outcome as well as at least one negative ethical outcome that could result from your solution.
    • Explain at least two ethical issues related to each of those outcomes. (It is important to consider all of society.)
  • Develop a conclusion for the last paragraphs of the essay, starting with rephrasing your thesis statement and then presenting the major points of the topic and how they support your argument.

Food Web

INSTRUCTIONS

Visit the link https://www.learner.org/wp-content/interactive/envsci/ecology/ecology.html?initLesson=1

Choose only one organism from each trophic level and make sure that the food chain goes in a straight line from one trophic level to the next, i.e., Herbivore A eats Plant A, Omnivore A eats Herbivore A, and the Top Predator eats Omnivore A. Let Plant B survive on its own and see what happens. Predict whether each species will survive, and whether it will increase or decrease in number, as well as whether Plant B will survive to the end. Record your prediction in the Data Table and then run the simulation twice and record your data. Use X for “die out,” ↑ for “increase in numbers,” and ↓ for “decrease in numbers.” Answer the following:

 1.Was your prediction correct? How did you arrive at your prediction? What differences were there between your prediction and the simulation? (total available points 2)

 2. What would happen to this imaginary ecosystem if the producers were to die out? (total available points 2)

 3. Did any of the species increase in number? What could account for this increase? Which species decreased in number and what might account for this decrease? (total available points 2)

 4. Which populations would benefit the most from the presence of decomposers? (total available points 2)

Rubric 

1. Generating data table from the simulation (total available points 2)

2. Each prompt is 2 points

3. Write 2-3 sentences as your response to each prompt.

Biology Discussion

 Science can be defined as a systematic approach to acquiring knowledge. Science is based upon facts and evidence rather than beliefs or superstitions. To understand Biology and science, you must first examine how scientific knowledge is obtained.  Science is a process that involves several steps.  Read the description of the steps involved in the scientific method in the text paying close attention to the steps outlined in Section 1.3. Then pick one of the examples below and describe the steps of the scientific method you would use to test the question or find the solution to the problem. In other words, please design a virtual experiment (using the steps of the scientific method) to test the hypothesis you make about one of the questions listed below.Be sure to identify the steps (observation, hypothesis, prediction, experiment/test, controls, results, conclusions). 

  1. Will chilling an onion before cutting it keep you from crying?
  2. If you shake up different kinds or brands of soft drinks (e.g., carbonated), will they all spew the same amount?
  3. Do all breakfast cereals that say they have 100% of the U.S. recommended daily allowance (RDA) for iron really have the same amount?
  4. Are all potato chips equally greasy (you can crush them to get uniform samples and look at the diameter of a grease spot on brown paper)? Is greasiness different if different oils are used (e.g., peanut versus soybean)?
  5. Does eating breakfast have an effect on school performance?
  6. Do the same types of mold grow on all types of bread?
  7. Does increasing the ethylene concentration ripen fruit more quickly?
  8. Can you use a household water filter to remove flavor or color from other liquids?
  9. Does the power of a microwave affect how well it makes popcorn?
  10. Can you tell/taste the difference between ground beef, chuck, and round after they have been cooked?

RUBRIC:

 

1. Student submitted an appropriate and substantive post to the original assignment. This includes addressing all of the original questions/issues in a grammatically correct and logical manner

2. Assignment submitted on time and on a different day than other posts

3. Assignment met word count.  You MAY use quotes from a source, but those quotes will NOT count towards your 250 word count requirement. 

4. An appropriate scientific website was referenced.  MUST put quotation marks around it AND you MUST cite the source at the end of your post. It is NOT simply enough to put a source at the end. You should also include at least one reference in your post. Do NOT use Wikipedia or Yahoo! Answers as a source. 

Operations management/Excel simulation

Congratulations! You have recently been promoted to the position of regional manager for Hurts

Car Rental Company in Florida. You need to make pricing decision and fleet size decision for Tampa

branch to maximize its expected total profit in the coming month (with 4 weeks or periods), taking

into account the behavior of both your customers and your competitor.

Hurts has one primary competitor in Tampa with whom Hurts competes for market share. Your

Market Intelligence (MI) has found that the competitor has adopted a masked price following

strategy; that is, the competitors p

2

t

price in period t will follow your last price p

1

t–1 within ±20%

range:

p

2

t = p

1

t–1 × εt

, εt ∼ U[0.80, 1.20], t = 2, 3, 4. (37)

Assume that the competitor begins by choosing the same price as yours in period (week) 1, p

1

1 = p

2

1

.

MI also provides the weekly demand forecast for the coming 4 weeks based on the historical data.

Your and your competitor’s pricing strategies, pt = (p

1

t

, p

2

t

), jointly determine both the market size

Nt(pt) and the market share πt(pt). The market size Nt(pt), or the total number of demands for

Hurts and its competitor in week t, is determined by pt = (p

1

t

, p

2

t

) via

Nt(pt) = b0 + b1p

1

t + b2p

2

t

, (38)

where b0 = 105644.5, b1 = –377.5, and b2 = –676.25.

 The market share πt(pt) of Hurts, or the probability that a unit demand choosing Hurts instead of

its competitor, is determined by the Multinomial logit (MNL) model:11

πt(pt) = 1

1 + exp(–c0 – c1p

1

t

– c2p

2

t

)

(39)

where c0 = 0.0875, c1 = –0.0220, and c2 = 0.0170. Note that 0 ≤ πt(pt) ≤ 1, and your competitor’s

market share is 1 – πt(pt).

Therefore, your demand Dt(pt) in week t follows Binomial distribution, Dt(pt) ∼ Bino(Nt

, πt),

where both the number of trials (market size Nt(pt)) and the probability of success (market share

πt(pt)) are determined by the pricing strategies via (38) and (39), respectively. Since the market

size is sufficiently large, as MI pointed out, by Central Limit Theorem, your demand Dt(pt) is

assumed to follow normal distribution

Dt(pt) ∼ N (μt

, σ

2

t

), (40)

where μt = Nt

· πt

, and σt =

p

Nt

· πt

· (1 – πt), with Nt and πt are given in (38) and (39),

respectively.

Each unit demand materializes as a unit sale if met by a day-car supply. Unmet demand is lost.

Thus, your revenue Rt(pt

, St) in week t is given by

Rt(pt

, St) = p

1

t × min(St

, Dt(pt)), (41)

11Based on the historical data, MI estimates coefficients bi

in (38) via linear regression (regress() in MATLAB);

and market share coefficients ci

in (39) via Multinomial logistic regression ( mnrfit(), glmfit() in MATLAB).

49

where St = 7Q is the weekly day-car supply with the fleet size Q, and Dt(pt) is Hurts weekly

demand in (40).

Currently the branch has a fleet of Q = 1500 cars. Total costs are comprised of three parts:

maintenance, inventory and fixed costs. Each unit sale incurs unit maintenance cost M = $13 (per

sale), the amount of work attributable to oil changes, cleaning, and preventative maintenance. Each

car in the fleet incurs unit monthly inventory cost I = $298 (per car). Fixed costs, K = $344978,

are the sum of all other monthly costs of running the branch and do not vary based on sales or

inventory quantity.

Each unit demand requires one day-car supply, i.e., one car for one day rental and returns that

car in the following day; multi-day rentals count as multi-unit demands. For example, a request

for 4-day rental of a car is treated as 4 units demands. With fleet size Q = 1500, you have weekly

day-car supply St = 7 × Q = 10500 in week t.

As the manager, you need to decide the weekly price p

1

t

, t = 1, 2, 3, 4, and monthly fleet size Q that

together maximize net monthly profit before taxes. The performance of each strategy is measured

by two criteria, monthly total profit V , the sum of profits of four weeks, and monthly fill rate f ,

defined by the ratio between your monthly sales and your monthly demand.

Parameters

Q=1500     M= $13 per sale     I= $298 per car     K= $344978

C0=0.0875       c1=-0.0220       c2=0.0170    and      b0=105644.5    b1= -377.5    b2= -676.25

Underlying Assumptions

According to the case study, the demand follows a binomial distribution Dt(pt) ∼(Nt, πt) where both the market size, the market share (trials), and the market share (the number of success) are determined by the price strategies. Our competitor price is in plus or minus 20% than our rental price. To compute a simulation of 1000 months, we will follow a normal distribution according to our market size and market share Mu and sigma. It is given that our fleet size is 1500 and our price will be determined every week to give us the optimal profit.  

Objective

Our objective is to maximize the weekly price P and our monthly fleet size Q that together will maximize our net monthly profit for the Tampa branch, taking into account the behavior of both customers and competition. We will measure these performances by two criteria, the monthly total profit (V) and monthly fill rate (f) defined by the ratio between the monthly sales and the monthly demand. Following are the questions we intend to utilize to ensure that we optimize our total profit.

a)  Fleet size Q = 1500 and the price P = $40 (p1=p2=p3=p4). Simulate the operation of the Tampa branch for n = 10^3 months (sample-path with 4 observations). Compute the expected fill rate E[f ], total expected monthly profit VQ(p 1 ), and its 95% confidence interval. To simulate 1000 months (sample size N) we will use the following metrics: where the fleet size Q= 1500 and the p=$40, maintenance cost M=$13 per sale, monthly inventory cost I=$298 per car, and fixed costs K=$344978, we will be able to estimate the expected fill rate and the expected monthly profit. Then, we will be able to measure the 95% probability of these expectations.

b)  Assume Q = 1500. Repeat question 1 for p 1 ∈ { 45, 50, . . . , 70 }. Graph VQ(p 1 ) against p 1 and find the optimal price p 1∗ that maximizes the total profit V ∗ Q = maxp 1 VQ(p 1 ). Using the same metrics above but using multiple rental prices to find out the optimal price that optimizes total profit, then use these finding to plot the total profit in relation to the price P1*.

c)  Now change Q = 2000, repeat questions 1 and 2. Find the optimal price p1∗ and total profit V ∗ Q for fleet size Q = 2000. Our new Q = 2000 while other metrics are still the same. Using the new Q and simulating a new sample size we will be able to generate a new expected fill rate, optimal price, and a new expected monthly profit.

d)   Repeat questions 1 and 2, for Q = { 2500, 3000, . . . , 4000 }. For each Q, find the optimal associated price p 1∗ and the optimal total profit V ∗ Q. Graph V ∗ Q against Q. Find the optimal fleet size Q∗. Our simulation in this part will be containing different fleet sizes. We will use the same parameters to apply the different costs on each Q and find the optimal price P for each Q. We can then use our findings to graph the total profit in relation to the fleet size.

e)   Now consider a dynamic pricing strategy. Suppose you may set the price p 1 t for each week differently, where p 1 t ∈ { 40, 45, . . . , 70 }. By the similar approach in questions 1-3, find the optimal price path (p 1∗ 1, p 1∗ 2, p 1∗ 3, p 1∗ 4 ) for each fleet size Q ∈ { 1500, 2000, . . . , 4000 } and its associated optimal profit V ∗ Q. Graph V ∗ Q against Q. Find the optimal Q∗. Compare the total profit under the dynamic pricing strategy with that under the static pricing strategy. Which one performs better? By how much? Why? In this part, we will consider different prices and different fleet sizes. Do the simulation for 1000 months and calculate the optimal price and profit. Using these findings we will be able to plot our optimal profit in relation to the optimal fleet size. 

f)   Assume fleet size Q=2000 and static pricing strategy: p1=p2=p3=p4=40 , simulate the operation for n= 1000 months. what is the expected market size and the expected market share for the Tampa branch? Doing this simulation using the following metrics: the market size Nt(Pt) and the market share πt(pt) where b0 = 105644.5, b1 = –377.5, and b2 = –676.25 and  c0 = 0.0875, c1 = –0.0220, and c2 = 0.0170 we will be able to visualize our expected market size and our expected market share.   

Market share = πt(pt) = 1/1+exp(-c0-c1*p1-c2*p2)

Market size = Nt(pt) = b0 + b1p1+b2*p2

3 page assignment management human relations

Instructions
You are to write a 3 page paper (not including title and reference pages so a total of 5 pages) in proper APA format. For your paper, please take a look at the video and article presented in the lesson for Week 3 (I attached a link here also). Pay particular attention to the video and article, as you watch/read, take notes on some of the topics presented that interest you. This is a short paper, think of it as a warm-up for your longer paper due in Week 7.
Video: Non-Verbal Communication in the Global Marketplace
Article: The Puzzle of Non-Verbal Communication
Requirements this assignment:
Your paper should utilize appropriate course material:
Article and/or Video from Week 3
Ensure you address the following topics in your paper:
Pick three areas of interest from the article or video and discuss why you find it interesting, if you have seen any personal examples of it (i.e., someone who covers their mouth while talking).
This paper should be fun, I would suggest that you read/watch the materials as soon as possible and then start observing others around you for some non-verbal clues.
Remember your paper must include (all in proper APA 7th edition format):
Cover Page
Body ( 3 pages a minimum discussion of non-verbal areas of interest)
Reference Page
Make sure to use two additional resources from APUS online library or internet (Google Scholar is a great source)
Wikipedia, or similar sites are NOT acceptable sources for this paper
Due Date
Dec 27, 2020 11:55 PM
Hide Rubrics
Rubric Name: MGMT100 Human Relations
 
MGMT100 Human Relations
Rubric Total Score
Total Score
/ 100
Criteria
Introduction
/ 20
Engages the reader with an original approach to the subject matter. Provides background into the problem / issue under discussion.
Thesis and Support
/ 40
Presents a precise and orderly explanation of findings in conjunction with the research. Provides 100% or more of the research and content required in accordance with assignment instructions.
Summary or conclusion
/ 20
Restates the reason for the paper. Clearly and precisely articulates and summarizes research findings without regard to personal views or opinions.
Documentation & APA format
/ 10
Paper is written in proper APA format, and includes at least the minimum number of references and sources; references are properly listed in the reference section and cited within the body of the text.
Grammar and Spelling
/ 10
Paper is free or almost free of grammatical and spelling errors; writing mechanics exceed expectations.
Submit Assignment

300 words what are your thoughts on the article

cocaine, conspiracy theories and the cia in central america by Craig Delaval

 

Delaval is a freelance writer and filmmaker and was a production assistant for “Drug Wars.” This article was edited by Lowell Bergman, series reporter for “Drug Wars.”

Since its creation in 1947 under President Harry Truman, the CIA has been credited with a number of far-fetched operations. While some were proven – the infamous LSD mind-control experiments of the 1950s – others, like the assassination of John F. Kennedy and the crash of the Savings and Loans industry, have little or no merit.

In 1996 the agency was accused of being a crack dealer.

A series of expose articles in the San Jose Mercury-News by reporter Gary Webb told tales of a drug triangle during the 1980s that linked CIA officials in Central America, a San Francisco drug ring and a Los Angeles drug dealer. According to the stories, the CIA and its operatives used crack cocaine–sold via the Los Angeles African-American community–to raise millions to support the agency’s clandestine operations in Central America.

The CIA’s suspect past made the sensational articles an easy sell. Talk radio switchboards lit up, as did African-American leaders like U.S. Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Los Angeles, who pointed to Webb’s articles as proof of a mastermind plot to destroy inner-city black America.

One of the people who was accused in the San Jose Mercury-News of being in the midst of the CIA cocaine conspiracy is one of the most respected, now retired, veteran D.E.A. agents, Robert “Bobby” Nieves.

“You have to understand Central America at that time was a haven for the conspiracy theorists. Christic Institute, people like Gary Webb, others down there, looking to dig up some story for political advantage,” Nieves said. “No sexier story than to create the notion in people’s minds that these people are drug traffickers.”

But in the weeks following publication, Webb’s peers doubted the merit of the articles. Fellow journalists at the Washington Post, New York Times and Webb’s own editor accused him of blowing a few truths up into a massive conspiracy.

Amongst Webb’s fundamental problems was his implication that the CIA lit the crack cocaine fuse. It was conspiracy theory: a neat presentation of reality that simply didn’t jibe with real life. Webb later agreed in an interview that there is no hard evidence that the CIA as an institution or any of its agent-employees carried out or profited from drug trafficking.

Still, the fantastic story of the CIA injecting crack into ghettos had taken hold. In response to the public outcry following Webb’s allegations–which were ultimately published in book form under the title Dark Alliance–the CIA conducted an internal investigation of its role in Central America related to the drug trade. Frederick Hitz, as the CIA Inspector General– an independent watchdog approved by Congress–conducted the investigation. In October 1998, the CIA released a declassified version of Hitz’s two-volume report.

The IG’s report cleared the CIA of complicity with the inner-city crack cocaine trade. It refuted charges that CIA officials knew that their Nicaraguan allies were dealing drugs. But, the report said that the CIA, in a number of cases, didn’t bother to look into allegations about narcotics And the Hitz report describes how there was little or no direction for CIA operatives when confronted by the rampant traffic in drugs in Central American during the 1980s.

What follows is a closer look at the Hitz report, drawing on interviews with Frederick Hitz and others interviewed for FRONTLINE’s “Drug Wars” series.

The War on Communism

When the Marxist Sandinistas overthrew the government of longtime dictator Anastasio Somoza in 1979, U.S. approval soured when it became clear that the new regime saw itself as a satellite of Cuba, if not the Soviet Union. When Ronald Reagan became president soon after, he quietly began sending aid to those fighting the Marxist government. They were known as the Nicaraguan Resistance, or more simply, the Contras.

contras

Contra soldiers

As with Burma, Laos and Afghanistan before it — where the U.S. had helped fight wars — Nicaragua had a narcotics trade–a fact which was brought to the CIA’s attention while the Contra effort was barely off the ground. In 1981 members of the Nicaraguan Revolutionary Democratic Alliance (ADREN) were working alongside CIA officers to overthrow the new Sandinista government.. As noted in the Hitz report, a cable to CIA headquarters stated that ADREN leadership had decided to “engage in drug smuggling to the United States in order to finance its anti-Sandinista operations.” The cable stated that an “initial trial run” had taken place in July 1981, when drugs were transported via plane to Miami.

In what would prove common during the Contra war, the CIA never followed up on the allegations, or bothered to verify whether the “initial run” had taken place, according to the Hitz report. ADREN disbanded in 1982. But some members joined the Nicaraguan Democratic Force (FDN), which worked with the CIA.

In another instance, the CIA received allegations that five members of the Democratic Revolutionary Alliance (ADREN) — those fighting along the border of Nicaragua and Costa Rica – were involved in drug trafficking. The five were allegedly working with known drug trafficker Jorge Morales.

Although the CIA broke off contact with the ARDE in 1984, it continued to have contact with four of the five members who associated with Sr. Morales until 1987.

“In the context of this struggle between the Contras and the Sandinistas, there were accusations flying left and right, some of which were probably meritorious, and a good many of which were part of the battle they were involved in,” Hitz said. The question for the CIA officer in the field was, how do you deal with those accusations?

“And what they did was, for the most part, attempt to track them down,” Hitz said. “But on several cases, no action appears to have been taken. And that’s the part that we find in our report.”

Around the same time–the early 1980s–a letter between Attorney General Smith and CIA Director Casey was made official, creating what some considered a convenient loophole for the CIA

The Letter

In the winter of 1982, as the United States was plotting how to overthrow the Sandinista government that came to power in Nicaragua, a letter – a “Memorandum of Understanding” [MOU] was being drafted in Washington, D.C. The presumptive author was the U.S. Attorney General, the late William French Smith. The recipient was the Central Intelligence Agency Director William Casey.

The subject was a list of offenses that CIA field officers in the field were required to report if they witnessed or became aware of a crime — particularly if it involved an informant or someone the CIA officer wanted to recruit as an “agent”. The letter of understanding listed all kinds of crimes from murder to passport fraud. But it omitted narcotics violations.

The oversight was too glaring, apparently, to leave without comment. Weeks later a follow up letter based on some internal discussion in the Justice Department was sent to the CIA

“I have been advised that a question arose regarding the need to add all narcotics violations to the list of “non-employee” crimes,” Smith wrote to Casey in his February 11, 1982 letter. But instead of adding drugs to the list, Smith cited existing federal policy on narcotics enforcement, and wrote:

“In light of these provisions and in view of the fine cooperation the Drug Enforcement Administration has received from CIA, no formal requirement regarding the reporting of narcotics violations has been included in these procedures.” In effect, the agreement meant that CIA officers were not required to report narcotics violations back to headquarters. As the CIA’s Inspector General Fred Hitz told us, it was at best a “mixed message.”

Was the omission of a requirement to report narcotics violations a conscious decision designed to provide cover for CIA agents caught in the midst of the thriving drug business in Central America? Fred Hitz refuses to speculate. Hitz insists he finds it hard to believe that any CIA agent in the field would be involved, especially since ” it was well known during this period that if the CIA was linked to any drug shipment, the political damage [to the Contra cause] would be irreparable.”

“It was fairly clear, and all of the officers whom we questioned on it, and some whom we didn’t but whom the House questioned, realized that if drugs were intermixed with this program, it would fail, it would kill it,” Hitz said. “They knew perfectly well because of past accusations in previous theaters that that would be the kiss of death.”

Yet there was a lack of narcotics-related direction from CIA headquarters during the Contra war, as indicated when the issue of reporting suspected narcotics violations arose again in 1987. Acting CIA director Robert Gates sent a 1987 memorandum to CIA Deputy Director for Operations Clair George stating that it was imperative that CIA officers cease relations with Contras who were “even suspected of involvement in narcotics trafficking,” according to the Hitz report.

Gates’ memorandum instructed George to vet names of air crews, air services companies and subcontractors with the DEA, U.S. Customs and the FBI to ensure that none of the contractors used by the CIA were involved in narcotics. For some reason, this memorandum “was not issued in any form that would advise Agency employees generally of this policy,” Hitz stated in his report. It never got to the field agents who were supposed to use it as a guide.

Hitz interprets both the omission of narcotics from the MOU and the fact that Gates’ memo did not ever make it to the agents who needed it as the failings of a vast bureaucracy. These events, however, as well as others documented in the report, have provided fodder to those interpreting the agency’s behavior less sympathetically.

Jonathan Winer was a staffer on a Senate Committee Investigation led by Senator Kerry of Massachusetts, and is a former deputy assistant Secretary of State for International Narcotics Matters. “If you’re focused on winning an ideological war, you’re probably not focused at the same time on the law enforcement consequences of what you’re doing,” Winer said. “And certainly, our government in the 1980s was not focused on that problem. It actively resisted being focused on that problem.”

Others believe that the U.S. espionage agency was simply covering its tracks.

The Ilopango Air Base

The story of Ilopango air base in San Salvador has become a favorite anecdote among those backing the claim that the CIA protected Contras neck-deep in the drug trade. The Hitz report states that by 1985, the DEA was watching Carlos Albert Amador. He was a former pilot for the Southern Front Contras, a group that operated along the northern border of Costa Rica and in the southern regions of Nicaragua. Carlos Alberto Amador had previously flown secret Contra missions out of the airfield. But, in 1985 , he came under suspicion for transporting drugs from Costa Rica to Miami. The CIA cable noted that Amador “had access to Hanger 4 at Ilopango air base.”

The cable quoted a DEA source who “stated that Amador was probably picking up cocaine in San Salvador to fly to Grand Caymen [sic] and then to south Florida,” adding that the DEA was going to ask San Salvadorian police to investigate Amador and anyone associated with Hanger 4.

But Hanger 4 — as the author of the cable would later tell CIA investigators — was also thought to be associated with Oliver North, who was under commission from the White House to secretly carry out aid to the Contras.

When CIA headquarters responded to the cable, it told its local station that it “would appreciate Station advising DEA not to make any inquiries to anyone re Hanger [sic] no. 4 at Ilopango since only legitimate….supported operations were conducted from this facility.”

Former DEA field agent Nieves denied the suggestion that CIA objectives overrode DEA drug enforcement during the Contra War.

“I was given carte blanche to do my job,” Nieves said. “Never once did anybody ever say anything to me about anything I was doing that was nothing but supportive. There was no interference. There was no overriding priority, there was no competition, there was no anything except for support of the DEA’s mission. And that’s a fact.”

But others say the CIA’s loose grip on its contacts certainly didn’t help the DEA’s cause.

“I believe that elements working for the CIA were involved in bringing drugs into the country,” said Hector Berrellez, DEA field agent.

“I know specifically that some of the CIA contract workers, meaning some of the pilots, in fact were bringing drugs into the U.S. and landing some of these drugs in government air bases. And I know so because I was told by some of these pilots that in fact they had done that.”

While most D.E.A. veterans we interviewed dismiss allegations of any conscious CIA activity or involvement in drug trafficking, a number are suspicious, and a handful like Berrellez claim they had hard evidence of “CIA contract employees” being involved. With the exception of the Venezuela National Guard case we were unable to find any evidence that any CIA agent was ever considered a potential target of a grand jury investigating drug trafficking.

Drug policy: MIA

“If it’s your job to check out food at the supermarket counter … you’re not worrying about the person who’s supposed to be stocking the shelves. It’s not your job,” said Jonathan Winer, explaining the CIA’s minimal attention to drug trafficking in Central America.

It is clear from interviews with former D.E.A. agents, CIA officials and former Colonel Oliver North that the CIA did not ignore narcotics in Central America. Injecting the United States into a Nicaraguan civil war was hardly an easy sell to Capitol Hill, with nightmares of Vietnam still fresh from the 1970s. Any hint of collusion with the drug trade would be like handing a loaded gun to opponents aiming to kill the effort.

But the degree to which that point was communicated to CIA agents in the field, according to the Hitz investigation, does not inspire confidence.

“There was no directorate of operations instruction about how to deal with drug allegations during the whole period of the Contra effort,” Hitz said. “They were in process. They were working on some kind of guidance. But they never published it in black letter and sent it to the field.” In Nicaragua, the Smith-Casey letter basically excused CIA officers from reporting drug trafficking among their contacts. Even when it became clear that narcotics could cast a pall on the effort, the CIA appeared unwilling to react.

As early as 1980, a handbook had been developed with a section instructing CIA officers how to deal with contacts suspected of trafficking drugs. But those regulations were ruled inapplicable to the Contra affair, because they were meant for CIA personnel who were specifically collecting narcotics intelligence — not the case in Central America. Inexplicably, the handbook wasn’t formally published until 15 years later.

In addition, in the mid-1980s, any effort to keep the CIA out of the world of drug trafficking was made more difficult by the decision of its boss, Director Casey, to activate what became known as the “off-the books” operation of Oliver North.

alt tag

North at Iran-Contra Hearings

Along with a leading role in the Iran/Contra scandal – in which North helped sell arms to Iran to fund the Contra War – North is also said to have employed air and sea transport companies moonlighting as drugs carriers.

When the Kerry Commission released its report in 1988, the company Frigorificos De Puntarenas was listed as receiving $261,000 in funds from the Nicaraguan Humanitarian Assistance Office, an organization established in 1985 to spend $27 million in congressional humanitarian aid to the Nicaraguan resistance.

Frigorificos’ owner, Luis Rodriguez, also operated Ocean Hunter/Mr. Shrimp out of Miami, Florida.

In 1986 the DEA seized 400 pounds of cocaine hidden in yucca addressed to Ocean Hunter. Rodriguez later testified that both companies were used to launder drug money between Costa Rica and Miami.

North has categorically denied that anybody in his operation was trafficking drugs. But in 1987, a co-owner of the shrimp companies pointed the finger at the National Security Council. Moises Nunez told the CIA that he had had a clandestine relationship with the National Security Council since 1985.

“If we have a foreign policy that says we’re going to oppose the spread of Communism, that’s not inconsistent with the (drug) policy,’ North said in an interview with FRONTLINE. “We’re not going to tolerate the flow of drugs into this country. Unfortunately you’ve got members of Congress up there who want to beat the drum and blame the problem of narcotics in America on the Nicaraguan resistance. And that’s just not the case.”

“He is either misinformed or lying,” Winer says. “Oliver North’s diaries are filled with references to drug trafficking and people associated with his enterprise drug trafficking–filled with it. Oliver North can say, ‘I never hired or worked with any drug traffickers.’ His organization did.”

While the Kerry report listed several companies used by the Nicaraguan Humanitarian Assistance Office that had drug ties, it failed to pass definitive judgement on how much government agencies knew about those ties.

“At best, these incidents represent negligence on the part of U.S. government officials responsible for providing support to the Contras,” the Hitz report stated. ‘At worst, it was a matter of turning a blind eye to the activities of companies who use legitimate activities as a cover for their narcotics trafficking.”

Situation Unresolved

That statement sums up the debate remaining over the CIA’s involvement in the Contra War. The Hitz report gives an abundance of anecdotal evidence showing that drugs were low on the list of intelligence priorities in the Contra war. It shows that allegation after allegation were either partially investigated or not investigated at all.

To this day, Fred Hitz denies that the CIA had any intentional ties to drug trafficking. But he also admits that the Agency in many cases took a rain check on specifically addressing narcotics activity within its allies’ ranks.

Some say that’s expected when fighting ideological wars in countries where drugs have historically fueled not only conflict, but entire economies as well.

“You’re always going to be having drug traffickers, gun runners, people who are alien smugglers … as some of the kinds of people that you’re going to be relying on to carry out a covert war,” Winer observes. “And that’s true of any government anywhere–whether you’re talking Afghanistan, Colombia, Southeast Asia, Burma. Your operatives tend to be people who are involved in other illicit activities. These things tend to go together.”

If you put aside conspiracy theories of crack peddling, that still leaves the question of why the Agency has repeatedly found itself associated with drug traffickers.

To add to the list of theories and speculations, Fred Hitz has his own.

“I would call them bureaucratically challenged,” Hitz said. “(The CIA) didn’t get it done. Having studied the agency over a period of eight years and the bureaucracy that is involved, it grieves me but doesn’t surprise me that nobody grasped the nettle and got the right information to the field.”

“No conspiracy,” he said. “That’s ineptitude. Yes, there are lots of things going on. There is congressional testimony. There are crises in other parts of the world. There are things that are keeping the individuals who write these regulations busy; but that’s no excuse. You’ve got to get to it.”

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DAT/565: Data Analysis And Business Analytics Assignment week 5

Respond to the following in a minimum of 175 words: on 3 different documents

Models help us describe and summarize relationships between variables. Understanding how process variables relate to each other helps businesses predict and improve performance. For example, a marketing manager might be interested in modeling the relationship between advertisement expenditures and sales revenues.

Consider the dataset below and respond to the questions that follow:

Advertisement ($’000)   Sales ($’000)

1068    4489

1026    5611

767      3290

885      4113

1156    4883

1146    5425

892      4414

938      5506

769      3346

677      3673

1184    6542

1009    5088

  • Construct a scatter plot with this data.
  • Do you observe a relationship between both variables?
  • Use Excel to fit a linear regression line to the data. What is the fitted regression model? (Hint: You can follow the steps outlined on page 497 of the textbook.)
  • What is the slope? What does the slope tell us?Is the slope significant?
  • What is the intercept? Is it meaningful?
  • What is the value of the regression coefficient,r? What is the value of the coefficient of determination, r^2? What does r^2 tell us?
  • Use the model to predict sales and the business spends $950,000 in advertisement. Does the model underestimate or overestimates ales?

People sometimes lament that success is often socially defined as the ‘5Cs

  

People sometimes lament that success is often socially defined as the ‘5Cs’. They don’t find that appealing. And when we ask what’s a better notion of success, many would point to something within the individual.

philosophy

Description

People sometimes lament that success is often socially defined as the ‘5Cs’. They don’t find that appealing. And when we ask what’s a better notion of success, many would point to something within the individual. We considered 2 such views in class.

(1) Success is being as happy as you can be

Very crucially, we must pin down what is meant by ‘happiness’. It seems most people mean something like a positive mental state. Pleasure, contentment or the like. But if this is success, then being permanently plugged into the experience-machine would make for the perfectly successful life. But does that strike you as perfectly successful?

(2) Success is living as you desire https://convenienthomeworkhelpers.com/blog/

This means getting as many of your desires fulfilled as possible. But consider Mr Sloth, whose single greatest desire is to sleep the rest of his life away. Fulfilling that entails getting himself into a vegetative state for the remaining 70 years of his life. Suppose he is really gifted and would find the cure of cancer if he tried, thereby saving millions of people. Furthermore, assume he would enjoy the process immensely even if he doesn’t currently have the desire to cure cancer. https://weassistessays.com/essayquestions/ Would the best life for Mr Sloth really be sleeping away his remaining 70 years?

If you reject (1) and (2), what would be a better view of success?

If you accept either (1) or (2), could you explain why? You could help address the concerns others have about that view.

chapter9

 

Read Chapter 9 and note that the first 25 pages discuss the concepts and history of groups in different racial categories.

Pages 350-369 in edition #5 and pages 368-381 in edition #6 discuss how people in different racial groups have interacted with each other on different levels, individual (microlevel) and institutional (mesolevel). 

For this discussion, choose one racial or ethnic group in the U.S. that Conley discusses in the history of race and respond to these questions:

  1. What group are you discussing? 
    • What racial categories (labels or names) have people used to describe it in US culture?
    • What ethnic categories (labels or names) have people used to describe it in US culture?
  2. What is one significant event or situation that this group experienced in US history?
    • Why is this event or situation important?
    • What can we learn about US culture, institutions or relationships between different groups?
  3. Review the arguments of Black Feminist Theory in the chapter on gender and examine this diagram: Intersections in matrix of domination.pdf
    • Put yourself in the center of this diagram and discuss problems or limitations that you experience from two or more of the “isms”.
    • Put yourself in the center of this diagram and discuss opportunities or advantages that you experience from two or more of the “isms”.